Given that the third largest contributor to Spain's economy is tourism, if your opinion holds true, it is hard to imagine how Spain can survive economically as it exists today. Nor can the infrastructure that supports tourism suffer such a long closure without being devastated.
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As the global experience with COVID-19 progresses, and the issues of epidemiology and infection control become clearer over the next few months, I think we may see a quicker opening to tourism than many think right now.
Our opinions on this are, of course, only that (opinions). However the published plans of various governments may provide a clue to "current" thinking. New Zealand is somewhat unique in that our current plan is to eliminate Covid 19 within our country and so our plans are, obviously, coloured by that. In addition, 15% of NZ's GDP has come from inbound tourism and so in that sense we share some factors with Spain.
NZ's plan is based on levels of trust and involves keeping our border closed for some time, possibly through to the end of this year. In the meantime we will initially promote internal tourism (once we are through all levels of lockdown).
Once we have experience of internal tourism and are confident that the movement of people does not create a second wave of infection then we will selectively open the border to countries that we trust. The NZ and Australian governments have already started initial talks on this. Australia looks like it is having similar success as NZ in controlling Covid 19 and provided that this success continues then we are likely to see a bilateral agreement on opening the border between our countries, possibly with mandatory quarantine at the beginning and then moving to some sort of certification.
Once we have experience of success with Australia then the government plans to negotiate further bilateral agreements with selected countries based on our government's perception of the ability to trust that an external government has control of Covid 19 and that there is no community transmission within the selected country.
There are no current plans to reopen our border to all countries, especially to those countries where Covid 19 is being allowed to circulate in the community.
We are currently prepared to sacrifice most of our inbound tourism industry so that we can open up the rest of our economy. 15% is a hard hit but it beats a 35-50% hit.
Of course other countries may have different plans and current plans are subject to change as the situation changes.