I said, elsewhere and earlier, that the annual pilgrim volume this year would likely be only marginally higher than 2018. The above observation seems to bear that out. In 2018, IIRC 327k Compostelas were issued.
With 300k Compostelas issued as of the end of September, it seems logical that the previous record of 327k will be surpassed. The year has three full months more to run. But, the degree to which this will wind up is debatable.
I suspect we will see a smaller increase over the previous year than would normally be expected. My original, earlier estimate for 2019 was somewhere in the vicinity of 370 - 375k. I now believe that the actual 2019 result will fall between 340 - 370k pilgrims processed for Compostelas.
The reason for this flattening is likely the Cathedral being offline all year. This means you literally could not pay ANY AMOUNT to see the infamous / famous Botafumeiro fly. In a normal year, groups and organizations pay to have the Botafumeiro used at a Pilgrim Mass. The Church only pays to have it used on Catholic feast days and holy days. At all other times, it is "pay to play..."
The fellows who pull the ropes must be paid. They are paid per event. All are lay persons. The days of having legions of seminarians, monks, and religious people who would do it as part of their religious duties is long gone...
I assess that as soon as the Botafumeiro is back in operation and the Cathedral is fully open for worship, touring etc, the numbers will surge ahead. There is pent up demand from intending pilgrims who deferred a Camino or tourist visit in 2019 for the above reason.
So, regardless of whether the final 2019 tally three months from now is up by the same 13 - 15 percent per annum average increases we have seen each year, over the past decade, look for a serious jump in the volume in 2020, and a crazy big spike in 2021. My earlier estimate of the 2020 volume was about 425k pilgrims. At present, given the pent up demand from 2019, I think that figure might be conservative. We shall see...
At present, it is being reported that renovations at the Cathedral will be completed in time for the liturgical celebration of the Apostle Saint's Transition (delivery to Santiago) on 30 December 2020.
Also, IIRC the actual Holy Year 2021 commences with the start of the Catholic Church liturgical calendar. I believe this is with the first week of Advent in 2020. This would be in late November. I presume they are racing to meet this deadline, as the Cathedral must be available for use during the 2021 Holy Year.
I think I need to reconsider walking a Camino in 2020 vs volunteering a second month at the office, earlier in the season. That is already my 2021 plan. But, I see a tsunami building offshore... Must speak with wife...
I encourage each of you to consider doing the same thing. If you go to my signature below any of my posts, click on the blue link "Pilgrim Office Volunteering." It will take you to the thread that will tell you everything you need or want to know.
Hope this helps.