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The bell curve is not appropriate
Instead what we are plotting in a time-series is say exp(k*time) with k being the rate of growth
If we take the log of the formula (just k*time), we get a chart that increases linearly with a slope of k (say k=0.2 or 20%) - so log-linear and exponential growth...
I stopped at the bottom to let what I thought was a single jogger go by - it turned out that he was leading a group of army cadets running up the hill - so I really had little choice but to race up
It's more of a short, sharp sandy path - go steady on the descent and keep an eye out for bushes
Given the high rate of growth, it's much better to plot the number of cases with a log scale - this also allows you to compare the resulting slopes for different countries
It's foolhardy to post such an open-ended question (without mentioning what time of year, how fit you are, what type of accommodation you will stay in and so on) and then request no books - well for a start you should get a guidebook such as Brierley and look at how much ascent and descent there...
Best to have one single credential - collect one stamp per day and simply add a second stamp at the same place when you recommence your camino each year - no problem with overflowing
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