Some time ago I built a page to show the 5 day forecast in the cities of different caminos.
In any case, as a fellow pilgrim indicated, it is best to enjoy the day looking out the window when you wake up.
Buen Camino,
I'm seeing more distance on the weekends than the rest but I think it's because of the growing trend this year....
I was more doubtful that it would do well with Easter but it has also predicted it quite well.
regarding elections... give me...
First tests using catBoost using as training data from 2003 to 2024-05-01 and test with the May data... not bad. :cool:
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE): 68.12
Variance of the test set: 235913.01
Mean Absolute Error (MAE): 50.33
Next step, test...
Hi Kate,
There is a very important bias in the days of the week that most pilgrims arrive: Friday > Saturday > Thursday > Sunday... it seems that pilgrims want to make sure they enjoy Santiago ;-)
Buen Camino!!
A good predictor could be albergue vacancy rate in key starting towns (St Jean, Astorga, Sarria). This could be a good indicator of +X days to arrival in SdC. The Wise Pilgrim app has just added a voluntary feature where albs can self-report.
Really interested to see your results!
Since day of week starting seems to be a big factor anecdotally (particularly weekends, holidays, 1st of the month) it might be worth making some assumptions to generate an estimated start date based off...
Thank you for your idea... but I am afraid it is completely out of the scope of this exercise.
There are so many variables and lack of a complete vision of the Camino as a whole that it is very difficult to propose this type of solution. To...
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