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Strange there should at least be one starting in Almería coming in to Santiago in October but I don’t see Almería in the list. Only checked web.https://oficinadelperegrino.com/en/statistics/
Women outnumbered men; I think that is a first. Of course, it was a record October. Every month this year set a record (with a slight adjustment for Easter).
Strange there should at least be one starting in Almería coming in to Santiago in October but I don’t see Almería in the list. Only checked web.
It could be. Strange not to have the "end points" as they have a lot of towns/villages in the middle of routes.I think Almería is included in ‘resto Andalucia’ ...
Total till november is 317.170. Last year this total till november was 290.797. Again an increase of about 10% (like it has been for the last 20 years.Anyone know what the annual number is?
Total till november is 317.170. Last year this total till november was 290.797. Again an increase of about 10% (like it has been for the last 20 years.
I like sharing the experience, so it is good news to me.Not really good news, this Increase.
Then of course there are those pilgrims that didn't collect their compostella in Santiagohttps://oficinadelperegrino.com/en/statistics/
Women outnumbered men. Of course, it was a record October. Every month this year set a record (with a slight adjustment for Easter).
Yes, in January, in deep snow. Finland, Norway, Sweden, and on down south. I talked with him. Nice person.Interesting figures. One person apparently started walking in Finland. Some brave man / woman...
Using these numbers, if one ignores extra pilgrims in holy years and does a straight 10% increase annually, for a nice conservative estimate, we exceed a million pilgrims a year by 2030 and ten million pilgrims a year by 2054I am trying to extrapolate the growth rate through to the Next Holy Year in 2021. Using a 10 percent annual increase over the previous year, and assuming a 2018 year-end total of 330k, I come up to about 600k for 2021.
This includes the 54 percent increase experienced from 2002 - 2003 (the last Holy Year) (IIRC).
Taking 330k for 2018 and adding 10 percent in 2019 and 2020, we find ourselves at 399k. Adding the 54 percent previously seen, takes us over 600k.
Even conservatively, I assess that we are looking at 500,000 or more pilgrims during the coming next Holy Year... YIKES! That's about a 52 percent increase over the present projected annual volume, 330k.
Get ready...here they come...
I may choose to not walk a Camino during the Holy Year and apply those funds to double-up on volunteering... Lord knows they will need the help...
Jajaja.... with those numbers the pilgrims will need to walk at night and in every winter month.Using these numbers, if one ignores extra pilgrims in holy years and does a straight 10% increase annually, for a nice conservative estimate, we exceed a million pilgrims a year by 2030 and ten million pilgrims a year by 2054
What, you don't think high rise albergue skyscrapers are something to look forward to?Jajaja.... with those numbers the pilgrims will need to walk at night and in every winter month.
I am trying to extrapolate the growth rate through to the Next Holy Year in 2021. Using a 10 percent annual increase over the previous year, and assuming a 2018 year-end total of 330k, I come up to about 600k for 2021.
This includes the 54 percent increase experienced from 2002 - 2003 (the last Holy Year) (IIRC).
Taking 330k for 2018 and adding 10 percent in 2019 and 2020, we find ourselves at 399k. Adding the 54 percent previously seen, takes us over 600k.
Even conservatively, I assess that we are looking at 500,000 or more pilgrims during the coming next Holy Year... YIKES! That's about a 52 percent increase over the present projected annual volume, 330k.
Get ready...here they come...
I may choose to not walk a Camino during the Holy Year and apply those funds to double-up on volunteering... Lord knows they will need the help...
Using these numbers, if one ignores extra pilgrims in holy years and does a straight 10% increase annually, for a nice conservative estimate, we exceed a million pilgrims a year by 2030 and ten million pilgrims a year by 2054
Actually, 2016 was a one-off “Year of iMercy” proclaimed by Pope Francis. He chose to make the Jubilee Indulgence (a plenary indulgence) available to Catholics performing specific religious activities.
A Holy Year occurs ONLY when the Feast of Santiago falls on a Sunday. The last incidence of that occurrence was 2010. The next is 2021.
Hope this helps.
In 1798 Malthus made population growth predictions based on the world population doubling every 25 years. With his math, the 1 billion would population would have grown to about 2.56 trillion by the year 2000. The actual growth in those 200 years was only to about 6 billion.Using these numbers, if one ignores extra pilgrims in holy years and does a straight 10% increase annually, for a nice conservative estimate, we exceed a million pilgrims a year by 2030 and ten million pilgrims a year by 2054
2016 was a HOLY YEAR.
What is a Holy Year?
Holy years, or Jubilee years, only take place every 25 years, unless the Pope requests an extraordinary Holy Year to highlight a specific topic. In this case, Pope Francis has declared 2016 a Holy Year of Mercy.
In Santiago de Compostela, a year is considered holy or Jacobean if 25th July, Saint James Day, falls on a Sunday. The next Jacobean Holy Year will take place in 2021. On such years a special door to the cathedral: the Holy Door (Porta Santa) is opened to pilgrims arriving in Santiago.
The 2016 Holy Year of Mercy will be officially starting on 8th December 2015 and finishing on 20th November 2016.
That would just add to the numbers.It could happen. But consider that interest spikes abnormally during formal Holy Year. These occur when the Feast of Santiago (25 July) falls on a Sunday.
I say "potato," you say "potatoe..." Nonetheless, the definition of a formal Holy Year is when Santiago's feast day (25 July) falls on a Sunday. That much is immutable.
This said, the Pope, in his wisdom and authority, can proclaim any day, anything he wishes. He INTENDED the out of date sequence holy year 2016 to be as spiritually "effective" as a formal Holy Year. That is why he chose to extend the 'benefits' of the formal Holy Year to 2016.
Apropos of this, the Pope also proclaimed the Jubilee indulgence during the designated one-year period marked the 500th anniversary of the San Roque church, on Boulevard San Roque. For more information, read this.
http://www.sanroque500.es/indulgencias-y-gracias-jubilares/
This period of special indulgence lasted from 16 August 2017, through 16 August 2018.
If you use the Chrome browser, it will translate on the fly for you.
Basically, it says what I indicated above. I know because I was there during this period, working at the Pilgrim Office. I had to be able to answer questions from people who incorrectly inked this one-off observance to the customary activities in the Cathedral.
I hope this helps.
I got a Holy Year stamp in Venice in 2016 as part of the Pope's jubilee, and was admitted through its holy door! The Holy Year applied to all churches and cathedrals.the Pope, in his wisdom and authority, can proclaim any day, anything he wishes. He INTENDED the out of date sequence holy year 2016 to be as spiritually "effective" as a formal Holy Year.
I say "potato," you say "potatoe..." Nonetheless, the definition of a formal Holy Year is when Santiago's feast day (25 July) falls on a Sunday. That much is immutable.
How surprising in a Forum focused on St. James.The definition you provide would be the definition of a Jacobean Holy Year
The fact that this is a forum dedicated to a pilgrim route to the relics of St. James doesn't make it any less correct to say that a Jacobean Holy Year is the only legitimate Holy Year.How surprising in a Forum focused on St. James.
Just a little reminder that the Via de la Plata ends in Astorga, so you will not avoid Sarria and after by walking that route. However, the Camino Sanabres, which is an alternate route available to VdlP walkers from Granja de Moreruela, arrives in Santiago from the west, without any time spent on the Frances.For those of us interested in approaching Santiago, while avoiding these two final funnels or choke points, there are still several alternatives. One can come in from the Ingles, Norte, De la Plata, Invierno, and a couple other routes, while avoiding the Sarria and Tui segments.
Thanks for the stats. Wow, it doesn't look like it has to be a Holy Year to bring the stats up, now does it? I understand 2016 may not have had the same impact as a "Jacobean Holy Year" but it was still a Holy Year nonetheless and crowded. The Pope didn't declare 2016 a Holy Year until mid or late 2015 so not a lot of pilgrims had the chance to plan for the pilgrimage. Fortunately for me, I had been planning before the Pope's announcement and was so thrilled and felt so blessed to know I would be walking through the Holy Door at the Cathedral during the special Holy Year of 2016.In the context of numbers of pilgrims in Santiago de Compostela, "Holy Year" is simply short for "Jacobean Holy Year". In the past, these years had an impact on the number of pilgrims in SdC; they added about 100,000-120,000 pilgrims as you can see from the diagram below. The year 2016 did not have such an impact.
It is expected that the next Jacobean Holy Year in 2021 will have a significant impact on the numbers of pilgrims again.
Fisterra-Muxia-Santiago (or Muxia-Fisterra-...) comes to mind....
If anyone knows of 'short cuts' or 'corner cuts' to avoid the most crowded segments leading into Santiago, on any route, that do not violate the 100 km required minimum distance during the final 100 km, please share them.
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